Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000604 0.000688 0.000777 0.000878 0.000990 0.001108 0.001244
2025-11-09 0.000472 0.000588 0.000719 0.000877 0.001062 0.001270 0.001522
2025-11-16 0.000387 0.000513 0.000662 0.000850 0.001079 0.001346 0.001679
2025-11-23 0.000325 0.000455 0.000617 0.000829 0.001096 0.001418 0.001829
2025-11-30 0.000283 0.000418 0.000591 0.000825 0.001129 0.001503 0.001994
2025-12-07 0.000250 0.000387 0.000569 0.000823 0.001161 0.001587 0.002157
2025-12-14 0.000220 0.000356 0.000544 0.000812 0.001179 0.001651 0.002295
2025-12-21 0.000193 0.000327 0.000518 0.000798 0.001189 0.001704 0.002418
2025-12-28 0.000180 0.000317 0.000517 0.000819 0.001247 0.001820 0.002625
2026-01-04 0.000166 0.000305 0.000512 0.000831 0.001293 0.001919 0.002813
2026-01-11 0.000149 0.000285 0.000494 0.000824 0.001310 0.001981 0.002949
2026-01-18 0.000134 0.000267 0.000477 0.000815 0.001324 0.002037 0.003079
2026-01-25 0.000123 0.000255 0.000470 0.000822 0.001362 0.002127 0.003260
2026-02-01 0.000112 0.000242 0.000458 0.000821 0.001387 0.002200 0.003419
2026-02-08 0.000098 0.000220 0.000432 0.000796 0.001373 0.002216 0.003497
2026-02-15 0.000086 0.000202 0.000410 0.000776 0.001367 0.002243 0.003589
2026-02-22 0.000078 0.000191 0.000399 0.000772 0.001385 0.002305 0.003732
2026-03-01 0.000071 0.000181 0.000389 0.000770 0.001405 0.002370 0.003882
2026-03-08 0.000063 0.000170 0.000376 0.000760 0.001412 0.002414 0.004001
2026-03-15 0.000056 0.000158 0.000360 0.000746 0.001411 0.002447 0.004104
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000156 0.000364 0.000766 0.001467 0.002567 0.004339
2026-03-29 0.000051 0.000152 0.000363 0.000777 0.001508 0.002666 0.004544
2026-04-05 0.000046 0.000144 0.000352 0.000771 0.001519 0.002717 0.004678